Texas Two-fer Matchup

Yesterday was a tough one—Tarik Skubal gave up 4 runs in 5 innings, and the DBacks allowed 4 runs in the first inning. Yikes. At least those lucky enough to have Apple TV+ got treated to plenty of offense. But today’s a new day with a new slate, so let’s dive in.

📺 Today's TV Games

  • Texas Rangers @ Houston Astros – Fox
  • Toronto Blue Jays @ Athletics – MLB Network

🎯 Pick'em 10 (7:35pm ET/4:35pm PT)

⚾ Texas @ Houston

This matchup offers a two-for-one—you can either pick the over/unders below or predict stat ranges for five key players.

Tonight features a strong pitching duel in Houston, with two starters boasting sub-3.00 ERAs.
Framber Valdez will look to snap the Astros’ four-game losing streak. He’s been solid, averaging about a strikeout per inning and pitching into the 7th in 3 of his last 7 outings. Corey Seager is the only Ranger with notable success against him—batting .269 over 26 ABs with a triple and a homer.

A win would bring Texas back to .500, and they’re putting their trust in Jacob deGrom, an All-Star selection despite being on the comeback trail from Tommy John surgery. His strikeouts and walks per 9 have dipped with age, but he’s still tough on most of the Astros lineup—Victor Caratini is the exception, hitting .353 with a 1.118 OPS against him.

  1. Jacob deGrom – Over/Under 1.5 earned runs allowed
  2. Corey Seager – Over/Under 1.5 hits+runs+RBIs
  3. Adolis García – Over/Under 0.5 hits
  4. Framber Valdez – Over/Under 6.5 strikeouts
  5. José Altuve – Over/Under 0.5 strikeouts
  6. Cam Smith – Over/Under 1.5 hits+runs+RBIs

⚾ Toronto @ A’s

Toronto visits Oakland (technically Sacramento now) with a major edge on paper—the A’s have an 18–31 home record and are still in rebuilding mode. But don’t overlook them: they’ve played just under .500 ball over the last month.

Jacob Lopez (ATH) has a 4.18 ERA and 38 strikeouts in his last 32.1 IP, while Kevin Gausman (TOR) has a 4.89 ERAwith 41 Ks in 38.2 IP. The key difference? Gausman has walked 20, double Lopez’s total.

  1. Kevin Gausman – Over/Under 6.5 strikeouts
  2. Bo Bichette – Over/Under 2.5 hits+runs+RBIs
  3. Jacob Lopez – Over/Under 2.5 earned runs allowed
  4. Brent Rooker – Over/Under 0.5 runs

🏆 Pick 5 Margin (7:35pm ET/4:35pm PT)

⚾ Texas @ Houston

(See full game breakdown above)

  1. Jacob deGrom – Strikeouts
  2. Corey Seager – Hits+Runs+RBIs
  3. Framber Valdez – Strikeouts
  4. Jose Altuve – Hits+Runs+RBIs
  5. Victor Caratini – Hits+Runs+RBIs