NY State of Mind & California Dreaming
An early start for those of us on the West Coast, where today features a strikeout showcase across three sets of starters. We’ll then dive deeper into two of those matchups: the Yankees look to lock into second place ahead of the Red Sox, while the Padres try to claw back ground on the Dodgers after last weekend’s sweep. Playoff storylines abound, with star power sprinkled throughout.
📺 Today's TV Games
- ⚾ San Francisco Giants @ San Diego Padres – MLB Network
🎯 Pick'em 10 (7:35pm ET/4:35pm PT)
⚾ NY Yankees @ Tampa Bay
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The Yankees roll into this one with a four-game win streak, capped by last night’s 13–3 drubbing of the Rays. But today, rookie Cam Schlittler faces a big test. He’s averaging a strikeout per inning, but his walks are high. His ERA sits at 3.94 with a 4.20 FIP, suggesting the defense has been bailing him out.
Across the field, Drew Rasmussen brings a steadier profile: 7.8 K/9, a strong 2.60 ERA, and 3.10 FIP. He doesn’t give out free passes and has historically stifled this Yankees lineup — Aaron Judge is hitting just .111 against him, while Cody Bellinger is at .200.
🔹 Aaron Judge – Over/Under 0.5 Runs
🔹 Cody Bellinger – Over/Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
🔹 Brandon Lowe – Over/Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
🔹 Jake Mangum – Over/Under 0.5 Strikeouts
⚾ San Francisco @ San Diego
It’s Game 3 of this four-game set between California rivals. Since the Trade Deadline, their paths have diverged: the Padres are climbing back into contention, while the Giants continue to flail offensively. They’ve split the first two games, though a controversial home run call on Monday swung things against San Diego.
The Padres trot out JP Sears, a recent pickup who’s bounced between AAA and the majors. His numbers point to trouble: ERA and FIP both above 5.00 and fewer than a strikeout per inning. Realistically, the Padres just want him to soak up five innings while limiting damage.
For San Francisco, Landen Roupp is set up nicely against a struggling Padres lineup — though he’s been shakier on the road (4.15 ERA). Manny Machado and Fernando Tatis Jr. have had success against him, while most of the rest of San Diego’s bats have been neutralized.🔹 Tanner Bibee – Over/Under 2.5 Earned Runs Allowed
🔹 Rafael Devers – Over/Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
🔹 Heliot Ramos – Over/Under 0.5 Runs
🔹 Jung Hoo Lee – Over/Under 0.5 Strikeouts
🔹 Ramón Laureano – Over/Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
🔹 Fernando Tatis Jr. – Over/Under 0.5 Runs
🔹 Gavin Sheets – Over/Under 0.5 Strikeouts
🏆 Pick’em 6 Margin (3:40pm ET/12:40pm PT)
⚾ Cleveland @ Arizona
A midday rubber match closes out this interleague set. Parker Messick makes his MLB debut after a strong showing in AAA (3.47 ERA, 10.85 K/9). Expect a pitch count cap — probably four innings max, especially if his walks rise.
Brandon Pfaadt counters for the D-Backs. His recent form has been shaky (ERA and FIP above 5), but he’s capable of going deep into games if he limits free passes.
🔸 Parker Messick – Strikeouts
🔸 Brandon Pfaadt – Strikeouts
⚾ NY Yankees @ Tampa Bay
(See full game breakdown above)
🔸 Cam Schlittler – Strikeouts
🔸 Drew Rasmussen – Strikeouts
⚾ San Francisco @ San Diego
(See full game breakdown above)
🔸 Landen Roupp – Strikeouts
🔸 JP Sears – Strikeouts